The Tropical Wave over the Eastern Caribbean Sea continues to track westward at about 20mph. The system remains poorly organized at the moment but there is a high chance that as it gets into the Western Caribbean Sea and slows down it could develop into a tropical depression or maybe even a weak tropical storm.
Sea surface temperatures in the Western Caribbean Sea are warm and upper level winds will be light and favourable. The GFS model suggests that if the system develops it will track just north of Belize and make landfall in Mexico. However, it is far too early to tell exactly where this system, once developed, would make landfall. Therefore, it is advisable that all areas on the Yucatan Peninsula, including Belize, remain on alert and monitor the progress of this system.
We at the National Meteorological Service of Belize will continue to monitor this system closely and inform and update you as necessary.